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內部通脹預期曝光，歐央行可能在2023年底前開始加息？官方回應來了
根據未公佈的內部情景預期，歐洲央行預計將在2025年前實現其2%的通脹目標，該模型還表明歐央行有望在未來兩年的時間內加息，從而縮小與美聯儲預期行動的差距。To get more news about 外匯投資, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
部分投資者預計歐洲央行2023年底前加息，據兩位知情人士透露，歐洲央行的長期通脹前景似乎證實了這一假設，歐洲央行首席經濟學家連恩在本周與德國經濟學家的私人電話會議上討論了這一點。
連恩告訴德國經濟學家，這種情景顯示通脹率將在三年預測期結束後不久反彈至2%。連恩表示他有信心實現2%的通脹目標。他說：
“如果你堅持高水準的貨幣刺激，你就能達到目標。我們認為目前的一套（貨幣政策）工具正在發揮作用。”
如果連恩本周披露的內部情景準確無誤，則意味著歐洲央行可以滿足在2023年底前開始加息的條件。
這將至少比大多數經濟學家預期的歐洲央行加息時間提前一年。歐洲央行通常只公佈對未來三年的經濟預期，每季度更新一次。但其工作人員還編制了“中期參考情景”，該情景展望針對未來五年，通常不會公開。
投資者一直在提高對歐元區中期通脹的預期。五年期、五年期遠期通脹掉期利率最近反彈至遠高於疫情前的水準，略低於1.8%，為四年多以來的最高水準。
然而，一位前歐洲央行官員表示，對於內部情景的預測應該“持懷疑態度”，因為它只是制定歐央行季度官方預測的複雜過程中的一個因素。“這是一個非常政治化的決定” ，這位前官員說。
Pictet Wealth Management的策略師Frederik Ducrozet則表示，如果歐洲央行在12月發佈2024年預測時進一步提高其通脹預測，連恩對內部模型的披露可能會讓投資者感到不安。他補充道：
“我認為債券市場穩定是有原因的，因為它可以看到歐洲央行的支持。”
該報道隨後也很快得到了歐洲央行的回應，該央行稱英國金融時報關於通脹和利率前景的報導不准確。該央行在聲明中稱：
“英國《金融時報》關於2023年可能加息的結論與我們的前瞻指引不符。連恩先生在週三一次公開活動中明確表示過，如果堅持實施高度貨幣刺激政策，假以時日歐洲央行可以實現2%的目標，沒有提具體日期。”
МВФ выделил рекордную сумму на восстановление экономики
Это историческое решение — самое крупное распределение SDR в истории МВФ и прививка для мировой экономики во время беспрецедентного кризиса», — подчеркнула Георгиева.To get more news about фондовый рынок, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
Средства будут переведены странам-членам фонда пропорционально квотам. Из $650 млрд государствам с формирующимся рынком и развивающимся странам будет направлено $275 млрд.
Выделение средств «послужит на благо всех государств-членов, поможет удовлетворить долгосрочную глобальную потребность в резервах». Оно укрепит доверие и усилит устойчивость мировой экономики, говорится в заявлении МВФ.
Согласно июльскому прогнозу МВФ, мировая экономика в этом году вырастет на 6%, в следующем — на 4,9%. Для развивающихся стран прогноз снижен на 0,4 процентного пункта — до 6,3%.
HIVE Blockchain Warns on Fraudsters Impersonating Them With Bogus Websites
The crypto mining data center operator announced it will take legal actions against the operators of the imposter websites.To get more news about HIVE Blockchain Warns on Fraudsters Impersonating Them ith Bogus Websites, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
HIVE Blockchain Technologies has issued a warning on several impersonators pretending to be them and are allegedly involved in frauds. According to the note published on its official website, some people have already been affected by the matter and had reportedly lost money because of the scammers.
The blockchain firm published a series of screenshots that unveiled how these fake sites are sophistically copying HIVE‘s content to catch victims and make it legit. For example, in one of the bogus websites, the scammers noted that ’this company practice advanced trading and return good profit to members,‘ implying that they’re involved in investment fraud schemes. However, HIVE Blockchain Technologies didn‘t disclose the fraudsters’ domains and asked people not to find them.
“Some of these impersonator groups appear to promise large returns on investment, and are not legitimate. Other impostors are promoting investment through an app. We are not associated with any of these activities,” the cryptocurrency mining data center operator commented in the statement.
Moreover, the firm announced it will take legal actions against those who are involved in the fraudulent schemes impersonating HIVE: “We are taking legal action against the owners of these imposter websites in Vancouver court, which we will be part of an attempt to revoke their web hosting and domain name registration. We will submit a complaint through the ICANN contractual compliance system.”
Hitting Target of 1 Exahash in BTC Mining
In other news coming from HIVE, Finance Magnates reported in August that the crypto mining operator achieved its previously announced target of 1 Exahash per second (EX/s) of Bitcoin mining hash rate. Furthermore, in the last few months, HIVE Blockchain has expanded its Bitcoin mining capacity significantly with the addition of several crypto mining machines.
Recently, the firm also ordered 1,800 Antminer S19j Pro miners from Bitmain Technologies in an effort to increase the companys overall crypto mining capacity.
7 Steps Before Entering Any Trade
Experienced traders know that finding a strong trend and trading in the trends direction, has the potential to lead to higher probability trades.To get more news about Forex Article, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
There is a well-known saying that trending markets have the ability to bail traders out of bad entries. Even if a trader entered a short trade after the trend was well established, the trend would continue to provide more pips to the downside than to the upside.
Traders need to ask themselves if the market is exhibiting signs of a strong trend and whether ‘trend trading’ forms part of the trading plan.
Ranging markets
Ranging markets tend to see price bounce between support and resistance to trade within a channel. Certain markets, like the Asian trading session, tend to trade in ranges. Oscillating indicators (RSI, CCI and Stochastic) can be of great use to traders that focus on range trading.
2) IS THERE A SIGNIFICANT LEVEL OF SUPPORT OR RESISTANCE NEARBY？
Price action tends to respect certain price levels for a number of reasons and being able to identify these levels is key. Traders do not want to be holding a short position after price has dropped to the key level of support, only to bounce back higher.
The same applies when price approaches a key level of resistance and typically drops lower shortly after. Trend traders typically look for sustained breaks of these levels as an indication that the market may start to trend. Range traders will on the other hand, look for price to bounce between support and resistance for prolonged periods.
3) IS THE TRADE CONFIRMED BY AN INDICATOR？
Indicators assist traders in confirming high probability trades. Depending on the trading plan and strategy, traders will have one or two indicators that complement the trading strategy. Do not fall into the trap of over-complicating the analysis by adding multiple indicators to a single chart. Keep the analysis clean and simple and easy to view at a glance.
4) WHAT IS THE RISK TO REWARD RATIO？
The risk to reward ratio is the ratio of the number of pips that traders will risk in the hopes of reaching the target. According to our Traits of Successful Traders research, which analysed over 30 million live trades, traders with a positive risk to reward ratio were nearly three times more likely to be profitable than those who do not. For example, a 1:2 ratio means that a trader risks half of what he/she stands to gain if the trade works out. The image below further depicts this principle.
5) HOW MUCH CAPITAL AM I RISKING？
It is essential for traders to ask this question. Often traders blow up their accounts by leveraging the account to the maximum when chasing “sure things”. One way to avoid this is to limit the leverage used on all trades to ten to one, or less. Another helpful tip is to set stops on all trades and ensure that the aggregate amount risked is no more then 5% of the account balance.
Before placing a trade, ask yourself, “how much capital should I use？”
6) ARE THERE ANY SIGNIFICANT ECONOMIC RELEASES THAT CAN IMPACT THE TRADE？
Sudden market news has the potential to invalidate the “perfect” trade. While it is almost impossible to anticipate things like, acts of terror, natural disasters or systemic failures in the financial markets, traders can plan for economic releases like NFP, CPI, PMI and GDP releases.
7) AM I FOLLOWING THE TRADING PLAN？
All of the above is of very little use if it does not tie in with the trading plan. Deviating from the trading plan will result in mixed results and only frustrate the trading process. Keep to the trading plan and do not place trades unless the trading checklist has been completed and confirms the trade may be executed.
自動売買とFX詐欺―FX自動売買のメリットとデメリットと日本の法規制
先日の記事に、日本金融庁に警告された無登録FX業社NEXTARTが、強制的自動売買システムを投資者に使わせていたが、今回は、もっとも使われている自動売買システムEAを説明する。To get more news about FX詐欺, you can visit wikifx.com official website.
FX（為替証拠金取引）の主な取引方法は、自動売買と裁量取引がある。
FX自動売買のEAとは「エキスパート·アドバイザー：Expert Advise」の略でシステムトレードとも呼ばれている。メタトレーダー4（MT4）という為替専門の取引プラットフォームに搭載する自動売買を行うプログラムを指す。
あらかじめ売買条件を設定しておけば、相場の動きが設定条件と一致した場合、自動的に新規及び決済を行うため、安定したトレードができる。
EAのメリット：
１.自動売買の多くはVPSと紐付けをしているため、24時間稼働する環境になるため、ずっと相場を見張らなくでも、取引タイミングを見逃さないのも自動売買の魅力の一つである。
２.専門知識や、分析ノウハウがなくでも、プロトレーダーと同じように取引できる。
３.自動売買は、裁量取引と同時にできるため、相場が急変した場合でも対応が可能である。
しかし、下記のデメリットも含まれる
EAのデメリット
１つのEAはすべての相場に適合しない、相場の急変には対応しにくい
取引環境によってEAのパフォーマンスが違う
ツールの設定は難しいことがある
詐欺EAがあるので、判別し難しい
「自動売買（EA）って、本当に取引に役に立つか？」と疑問を抱えている人が少なくない。FXの自動売買（EA）に関する情報も賛否両論であるが、正しく利用することと詐欺を見分けることが大事である。
まず、日本でFX取引（外国為替保証金取引）を行うたなどの自動売買ソフトウエアの販売、またはレンタルする行為は、金融商品取引法上の投資助言·代理業に該当すると考えられ、金融庁や各管轄財務局等に金融商品取引業者（投資助言·代理業）としての登録を受ける必要がある。
NEXTARTのようなFX業者は、為替取引サービスのライセンスも投資助言業·代理業などのライセンスも確認できなかったが、日本で為替サービス、及びEAサービスを提供するようになっている。
Direktur Eksekutif, Kepala Departemen Komunikasi BI Erwin Haryono mengatakan, kerangka kerja sama yang dilakukan oleh kedua bank sentral ini meliputi beberapa hal.
“Antara lain, penggunaan kuotasi nilai tukar secara langsung (direct quotation) dan relaksasi regulasi tertentu dalam transaksi valuta asing antara mata uang rupiah dan yuan,” ujar Erwin dalam keterangannya.
Erwin melanjutkan, kerangka kerja sama ini merupakan bagian dari upaya BI untuk mendorong penggunaan mata uang lokal yang lebih luas dalam penyelesaian transaksi perdagangan dan investasi langsung denga negara mitra.
Perluasan penggunaan LCS ini pun diharapkan mampu mendukung stabilitas nilai tukar rupiah, karnea mengurangi ketergantungan pada mata uang tertentu di pasar valuta asing domestik.
Nah, untuk mendukung operasionalisasi kerangka LCS menggunakan rupiah dan yuan, BI dan PBC telah menunjuk beberapa bank di negara masing-masing untuk berperan sebagai Appointed Cross Currency Dealer (ACCD).
Bank-bank yang ditunjuk sebagai ACCD adalah bank-bank yang dipandang telah memiliki kemampuan untuk memfasilitasi transaksi rupiah dan yuan sesuai kerangka kerja sama LCS yang disepakati.
Yaitu, memiliki tingkat ketahanan dan kesehatan yang baik, berpengalaman dalam memfasilitas transaksi perdagangan atau investasi, dan memiliki kapasitas dalam menyediakan berbagai jasa keuangan, serta memiliki hubungan kerja sama yang baik dengan bank di negara mitra.
Tuy nhiên theo tìm hiểu, sàn Bull Global Trading (hay còn gọi là BGCFD) được ra mắt vào năm 2019, thời gian hoạt động của sàn môi giới này chỉ từ 2-5 năm mà thôi. Nhưng sàn môi giới này được đăng ký tại Việt Nam, cách thức liên hệ như số điện thoại đều là các đầu số nhà mạng tại Việt Nam. Hơn hết, Bull Global Trading không chịu quản lý và không được cấp phép bởi NFA.
Nhà đầu tư cần lưu ý rằng một sàn môi giới được quản lý và cấp phép bởi NFA (Hiệp hội tương lai quốc gia Hoa Kỳ) cần đảm bảo điều kiện cơ bản như sàn phải có văn phòng tại Mỹ, quản lý cấp cao và phải có nhân viên có kinh nghiệm giao dịch lâu năm. Và phải chứng minh được tất cả các nguồn tài chính của công ty, bao gồm tài chính của những người sáng lập, kết quả kiểm toán, lịch sử xuất xứ… và đảm bảo đủ nguồn lực tài chính để vận hành kinh doanh.
Trung tâm giám định giấy phép của WikiFX đã xác nhận sàn Bull Global Trading chưa được cấp phép từ NFA và nghi ngờ sàn môi giới này giả mạo giấy phép ASIC (Ủy ban Chứng khoán và Đầu tư Úc). Có thể tạm kết luận, sàn Bull Global Trading không sở hữu bất cứ giấy phép từ cơ quan quản lý tài chính uy tín nào, chỉ để thông tin nhằm quảng cáo và tạo lòng tin đến với khách hàng.
Các giải thưởng mà Bull Global Trading công khai có 18 giải thưởng bao gồm 8 lần đạt Giải thưởng dành cho nhà môi giới tài chính, 4 lần đạt Giải thưởng Nhà môi giới tốt nhất. Tuy nhiên các giải thưởng này có từ năm 2010, có trước cả khi sàn môi giới này hoạt động và chưa được xác thực.
Tại website của sàn Bull Global Trading, dù bạn chọn hỗ trợ bằng ngôn ngữ Tiếng Việt hay Tiếng Anh khi đăng ký tài khoản giao dịch thì đều mặc định là tại Việt Nam, chỉ cần cung cấp một số thông tin cơ bản là có thể tạo được tài khoản.
Bull Global Trading có 03 loại tài khoản, thông tin công khai của sàn Bull Global Trading rất mơ hồ. Để tạo thêm lòng tin, Bull Global Trading cho phép nhà đầu tư mở tài khoản demo (dùng thử). Tiền trong tài khoản này sẽ chỉ dùng để giao dịch thử và không được rút thành tiền thật.
Ngoài ra, Bull Global Trading cung cấp ứng dụng giao dịch BG Trade. Tuy nhiên, ứng dụng này chỉ mới ra mắt, chưa hoạt động ổn định. Trên chuyên mục tố cáo, Anh M. chia sẻ“Hiện tại tôi có đăng kí tài khoản tại sàn. Khi rút tiền sàn có yêu cầu xác minh tài liệu. Tôi có cung cấp đủ tài liệu liên quan nhưng không thấy phê duyệt. Mở chế độ rút nhiều lần chỉ thấy 1 bảng thông báo này và ko thấy có phản hồi gì thêm.”
Điểm chung của các sàn này là không có giấy phép, lượng truy cập rất thấp và chủ yếu đến từ Việt Nam, lực lượng IB chào mời đông đảo, sử dụng đòn bẩy lớn… Như vậy, hiện tại các sàn Forex như trên lập ra chủ yếu để lừa đảo nhà đầu tư Việt Nam và số tiền mà các nhà đầu tư bị hệ thống sàn môi giới này chiếm đoạt có thể lên đến hàng trăm tỷ đồng. Đối với các lời chào mời lợi nhuận “khủng” từ những sàn này, đều là lừa đảo, đặc biệt trong bối cảnh dịch Covid-19 như hiện nay.
Hầu hết các những người tham gia đầu tư Forex đều không đánh giá được tầm quan trọng của việc chọn sàn môi giới. Vì lẽ đó, Trader thường hay tìm hiểu qua loa, hoặc nghe các lời đường mật từ chính IB rồi nghĩ rằng “thử một lần xem sao”. Nhưng khi bị cuốn vào trò chơi, nhìn thấy tiền cứ càng ngày càng bị hao hụt dần, tìm mọi cách nạp tiền để cứu vãn, hy vọng thần may mắn sẽ mỉm cười, để có thể lấy lại được số tiền đã mất. Nhưng tất cả đều “toang” hết! Và tới khi hiểu rõ vấn đề vì sao bị cháy tài khoản, thì ngoài cách lên các trang mạng cảnh báo, một số cá nhân thậm chí viết đơn thư nộp cho cơ quan chức năng, nhưng cuối cùng là tiền của họ vẫn không bao giờ lấy lại được.
Để thoát khỏi những chiêu trò lừa đảo trên thị trường này, hãy tạo thói quen tra cứu thông tin về sàn môi giới, từ giấy phép đến điều kiện giao dịch.
The active short-term correction (ii) belongs to the higher-order upward impulse waves (iii) and 3 of the multi-month upward impulse sequence (C) from the start of May.
When we examine todays currency sentiment profile of the FX market we can see that the GBPCAD currency pair is currently being driven down by the falling sterling sentiment as well as the moderately bullish Canadian dollar sentiment. This makes it more likely that the pair will test the next support level at 1.7400 (former multi-day resistance level which reversed GBPCAD multiple times in August).
The precious metal dropped the most since August 06 the previous day on escalated chatters over the Feds tapering during the next week. The bets for consolidating easy-money policies of the US central bank gained momentum after the US Retail Sales for August and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index for September came in better than expected and prior. That said, The US Retail Sales MoM jumped to the highest in five months while crossing expectations of -0.8% with +0.7% figures. Further, the Philly Fed gauge also rose strongly to 30.7 versus 19 forecast and 19.4 prior, marking the strongest figures in three months.
It should, however, be noted that Reuters‘ latest poll of 51 economists pushes back the tapering to the November meeting while citing the inflation concerns. The survey also hints at the Delta covid variant’s downbeat impact on the US Q3 GDP.
Read: Reuters Poll: Delta darkens US Q3 growth views, Fed taper announcement expected in November
In addition to the recently easing taper tantrums, a tweet from Fox News's Chad Pergram also helps the commodity to rebound. “WH says Biden, Pelosi & Schumer talked today by phone about social spending bill,” tweeted the reporter. Before that, Axios came out with the news saying, “President Biden failed to persuade Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) to agree to spending $3.5 trillion on the Democrats' budget reconciliation package during their Oval Office meeting on Wednesday.”
On the contrary, the risk-off mood backed by were chatters that the US, the UK and Australia are indirectly challenging China with securities pact and the US hosting of the UK, India, Australia and Japan for diplomatic talks the next week. Additionally, the Sino-American tussles, recently over Taiwan, join the hurricanes that challenge oil firms in the US Gulf to add to the risk-off mood and favor the US dollars safe-haven demand. As per the latest updates, the US and Australia issue joint statement showing concerns over the South China Sea claims while conveying readiness to strengthen ties with Taiwan.
Looking forward, headlines relating to the US stimulus, Fed and covid, not to forget China, may entertain gold traders, likely extending the corrective pullback. However, the preliminary reading of the September month US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for September, expected 72.2 versus 70 prior, will be the key data to follow today that could help better forecast next weeks Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) moves.
Technical analysis
Gold prices bounce off a 2.5-month-old broad horizontal support area but keep the previous days downside break of an ascending trend line support, now resistance.
With the bearish MACD signals and sustained trading below the key moving averages joining Thursdays support break, gold bears remain in control unless the quote bounces back beyond the support-turned-resistance near $1,786.
Even so, 50-DMA and 200-DMA, respectively around $1,796 and $1,808, challenges the buyers before directing them to the key horizontal hurdle around $1,834.
Meanwhile, gold sellers may wait for a downside break of $1,750 to take fresh entries targeting $1,738. Following that, $1,717 and the $1,700 may entertain the bears before the yearly bottom near $1,687.
Overall, gold prices portray short-covering moves that are insufficient to recall the metal buyers.
WHY ARE PEOPLE WEARING MISMATCHED COLOURED CONTACT LENSES?
Every day people are finding new ways to redefine and push our perceptions of beauty. Elf ears, horror-inspired prosthetics, make-up illusions, wavy brows, and in some cases, using Photoshop to distort faces beyond all recognition. But it isn’t always so dramatic. A new trend which flirts with this notion of subtle subversion has taken off on Instagram: mismatched eyes – an underground craze of changing the colour of only one eye, either through wearing a contact or through photoshop.To get more news about colored contacts, you can visit beauon.com official website.
There’s digital artist MLMA, who when she's not making mindbending illusions or fashioning herself into monstrous forms, will wear a single blue or green contact len, contrasting her natural brown, to add an element of the otherworldly to her everyday look. But look closely, and you might find the contact containing a miniature photoshopped version of herself. Then there’s make-up artist Aryuna Tardis who often uses an icy blue coloured contact lens to make a small transgression on an otherwise traditionally beautiful, natural look.To get more news about colored contacts prescription, you can visit beauon.com official website.
While this particular effect is achieved through the use of contacts or photo manipulation, there are people who have risen to prominence as beauty icons on Instagram who were born with mismatched eyes – a condition known as heterochromia. There’s model and ex-felon Mekhi Lucky AKA Prison Bae, who was born with one blue eye and one brown, and Insta sensation Sarah McDaniel, who has one hazel coloured eye and one luminous blue one. Then there’s influencer Liza S, who is always playing around with her eye colour, so much so that fans still can’t tell what's real or not.
While having mismatched eyes may feel like a small protest against traditional beauty standards, it is one making a massive wave on social media. To find out more about the motivations and inspirations behind this new trend, we spoke to three individuals championing the style.To get more news about colored contacts non prescription, you can visit beauon.com official website.
Wearing contacts for practical purposes, but also wanting to add some creative flair, Sophia joined the mismatched eyes craze when one of her coloured lenses tore. “I liked it when I looked in the mirror,” she says. “I think it is weird and beautiful to wear a different coloured lens on my oriental face. I don’t think there has to be a single standard of beauty. I like imperfect beauty.”
An artist, model and founder of jewellery brand TEETH, as a child Sophia struggled with her self-image. Believing that she was not up to traditional beauty standards, the older she got, the more she started to appreciate that beauty is not a fixed thing. “I'm not tall and thin. I'm glad the standard of beauty seems to be gradually expanding,” she says. “Not everyone is perfect and elegant, and such a world would be uninteresting.”
Though the majority of her fans have praised Sophia for her daring take on beauty, she’s also been the victim of trolls.“Some people mock me. They ask, ‘Do you want to be white?’ Or ‘Do you want to be someone else?’” she says. “But I don’t want either. I just like imperfect beauty. I think my choice is part of me. I just choose what I like, what I consider beautiful.”
